“As I write, highly civilized human beings are flying overhead, trying to kill me.” – George Orwell, England Your England, 1941
There’s a high probability that a new geopolitical balance can be established in the South Caucasus where Russia will finally be absent.
The central factor supporting Russian economic growth last year was the sharp increase in fixed capital investment. Increased budget spending was also used to finance investments.
Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan going ahead with “Birlestik-2024”. Russian consternation is growing.
While digital infrastructure in the region is growing, support infrastructure designed to handle the growth in demand is what requires investment.
The Middle East is no stranger to tension, and recent developments have brought the delicate balance of peace and conflict in the region to international attention.
There is “scant hope” of Belgrade and Pristina overcoming their difficulties and normalising relations, says a new Crisis Group report.
The destabilisation of Eastern Europe created a paradigm shift in terms of EU enlargement.
In the March update of BOFIT"s Forecast for Russia 2024-2026 capacity constraints will become a major cause of Russia’s economic slowdown this year.
Central banks across emerging Asia are poised to implement interest rate cuts in the coming months, driven by declining inflation and tepid domestic demand.
The economies of Central and Eastern Europe (CEE), which experienced a period of stagnation last year, are poised for a modest revival in 2024, but both the Russian and Turkish economies are already overheating.
Russian forces must only make an offensive push for 250km to cut the Baltic states from Europe.
France is taking independent steps regarding the South Caucasus, as French President Emmanuel Macron attempts to bolster his role as a top European leader.
Hungarian PM Viktor Orban’s close ties with leaders of Serbia and Bosnia’s Republika Srpska have encouraged nationalism and authoritarian tendencies with negative consequences for stability, says paper published by EPC.
Scruffy trolleybus passengers and wayward daughters-in-law among Akylbek Japarov’s targets, as well as that old favourite, lavish wedding receptions.
Milojko Spajic's government tries to seize window of opportunity, but still risks derailment by domestic political conflicts.
With important local elections coming up in April and to the European Parliament in June, the party faces one of its most serious crises.
Candidate states for EU accession such as Ukraine, Moldova and Georgia remain in a zone of insecurity where Russia can intervene minimally in a hybrid way.
Sanctions on Russia have had mixed results after two years of war, inflicting real pain on the Russian economy, but the lack of effective enforcement has muted their effect, a panel organised by Brussels-based think-tank Bruegel.
In 2023, the combined state debt and state-guaranteed debt increased by 30.4% to $145.3bn, representing 85% of the estimated GDP (up from 49% in 2021 and 77.8% in 2022).