COMMENT: Imitation Game - the theatre and risks of the Karabakh peace process

Tigran Grigoryan of the Eurasia Democratic Security Network. March 18, 2019

After the democratic revolution in Armenia, regional experts and international observers have expressed cautious optimism about the prospects for progress in Karabakh peace progress, but both sides are playing for time

Azerbaijan’s retail trade turnover up 2.6% in 2M19

bne IntelliNews March 18, 2019

Azerbaijan’s retail trade turnover grew by 2.6% y/y in comparable prices in the first two months of 2019, reaching AZN5.5bn (€2.9bn), the State Statistical Committee of the Republic of Azerbaijan reported.

COLCHIS: Brexit’s Risks and Opportunities for the Eastern Partnership

Alexander Nice of the Eurasia Democratic Security Network March 13, 2019

Barring any last-minute drama, the United Kingdom will cease to be a member of the European Union on March 29, 2019. Brexit will cause problems for the Eastern Partnership programme, but it will also open a new door as "European" changes its meaning

Turkmenistan halves oil exports amid Vitol and SOCAR clash

bne IntelliNews February 19, 2019

Turkmenistan has halved its oil exports in recent weeks due to a lack of tankers caused by a clash between Swiss trading house Vitol and Azerbaijan’s SOCAR, Reuters reported last week, citing anonymous traders.

Comment: 5 reasons why we expect higher oil prices

Warren Patterson of ING in Amsterdam January 18, 2019

We see oil prices trending higher in 2019, with the view that OPEC+ cuts are sufficient to return the market to balance over 1H19