While last week's mobilisation scare from Belarus appears to be a false alarm, Belarus is helping Russia prepare for renewed attacks along the lines of Ukraine's border with Belarus.
Last week, Belarus began its accenssion to the Shangai Cooperation Organization and the two countries both signed a deepened strategic partnership. But what does Belarus have to gain from increased integration with China?
Despite having come under EU sanctions in late 2020 for being the “oil money man” of Belarusian strongman Alexander Lukashenko, Mikalai Varabei and his family have somehow managed to preserve some of their riches in the EU.
As Lukashenko met with Putin in Sochi, economic co-operation was certainly high on the "bilateral agenda." For Lukashenko, the most pressing matter is a new $1.5bn loan, which he doesn't seem to be getting.
Lukashenko has declared that Belarus will not conduct a mobilisation such as Russia's, and in recent days, statements by Lukashenko and Belarus' foreign minister indicate an attempt at a new tactic from Minsk.
It's not only Belarusian exports that have been negatively affected by Western sanctions this year but the country's imports are also down to dangerously low levels. To ease the pressure Belarus is now considering a new law on parallel imports.
Despite their current hatred for Western Europe, a new investigation by the Belarusian Investigative Centre shows that a wide range of Belarusian government officials own real estate in, and frequently travel to, the EU.
The damage dealt by Western sanctions on Belarus' export sector seems to be increasing by the month. However, Belarus' PM still claims that exports are recovering. Minsk is also looking at Murmansk as a new route for its fertiliser exports.
Disparate interests of organisation’s member nations meant many major issues of the day could not even be discussed. But there was only one dominant member: China.
Minsk and Moscow has signed a draft agreement on a general harmonisation on the collection of the VAT and excise duties, which will be implemented by January 1, 2023. As Moscow draws Minsk ever closer, where does that leave Lukashenko?
As western sanctions against Belarus forrest industry hit, Belarus' government is looking to sell industrial timber to individuals while also diversifying its domestic wood products market.
Most important discussions and agreements at Samarkand gathering likely to concern regional connectivity, and the odd men out are Russia and Belarus.
Soaring inflation, rate hikes and a stronger dollar are reminiscent of the early 1980s – a decade that brought a wave of EM sovereign debt crises. This year has already seen Sri Lanka default, hit by an external liquidity crisis.
Amid the EU’s current energy crisis, Belarus and Russia are expanding their energy co-operation and Belarus is even increasing its oil production despite Western sanctions against its oil exports.
On September 1, Ukraine's General Staff told reporters that Belarus will conduct military exercises between September 8-14, and that Ukraine is ready for "any course of events."
While the exiled Belarusian opposition continues to examine the possibilities of a violent overthrow of the Minsk regime, Belarusians still in Belarus are more worried about their economic situation.
Belarusian opposition hacktivists and corruption investigator’s have uncovered how the Minsk regime’s political elite have been financing their children’s education with tax-payer money illegally.
As several EU countries want to increase visa restrictions for Russians, Belarusians risk getting caught in the crossfire, and in today's geopolitical climate it becomes ever more important to differentiate between a Russian and Belarusian passport.
On August 23, Belarus’ First Deputy Prime Minister Nikolai Snopkov told state Belarusian media that the government did not consider it an urgent matter to look for a new paying agent for Belarus’ Eurobonds.
The Minsk regime is doing everything in its power to legitimise its right to export through EU ports without co-operating with the EU. In its latest gambit, the regime promises to exert “punishment” on “unfriendly states.”