Can Russia cut off gas supplies to Europe?

Ben Aris in Berlin January 28, 2022

With the US threatening Russia with “massive consequences” if it invades Ukraine, Russia has threatened to take “military and technical” action in response. Is cutting Europe off from gas deliveries one of the Kremlin’s options?

War in Ukraine would send global grain prices soaring, threatening a possible repeat of the Arab Spring

Ben Aris in Berlin January 28, 2022

Ukraine together with Russia is one of the world’s biggest grain exporters and already the main source of wheat for many developing countries. A Russian invasion of Ukraine would smash its agricultural sector and send grain prices rocketing.

Russia’s Lavrov gives cold welcome to US Nato enlargement crisis letter, but holds door open for more talks

Ben Aris in Berlin January 27, 2022

Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov gave a chilly reception to the formal written response from the US to the Russian Foreign Ministry’s eight-point list of demands issued in December, but held the door open for more talks.

wiiw slashes Emerging Europe growth forecasts for 2022 and 2023

bne IntelliNews January 27, 2022

Turkish growth is expected to slow to 3.5% this year, from a forecast 9.5% in 2021, while for Russia, GDP growth is forecast to slow to 2% from 4.5%.

RAGOZIN: Zelenskiy swimming in the shark infested waters of friends and foes

Leonid Ragozin in Riga January 27, 2022

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy is swimming in waters infested with the sharks of geopolitics where everyone has a view on Ukraine, but don't always ask his opinion. And he is trying to keep his head above the surface.

Emerging Europe M&A soars by 55% to €94bn in 2021

bne IntelliNews January 26, 2022

Dealmaking returns to pre-pandemic levels as confidence recovers and low interest rates and big cash piles push up valuations.

NEMETHY: Is monetary tightening the cure for inflation?

Les Nemethy CEO and founder of Euro-Phoenix Financial Advisors January 26, 2022

The US Fed has not increased interest rates, just talked of increasing rates – not even by that much — and global stock exchanges lost $4.2 trillion in week. How can the Fed kill off the current high inflation without crashing the economy?

Belarusian hacktivists’ cyberattack on railway system to disrupt movement of Russian troops

Dominic Culverwell in Berlin January 25, 2022

The Belarusian Cyber-Partisans have targeted the state-owned Belarusian Railway, encrypting servers, databases and workstations in response to the presence of Russian troops in the country, the hacktivists announced via Twitter on January 24.

Who needs a war?

bne IntelliNews January 25, 2022

Russia increases its military presence in Belarus as tensions rise with Ukraine. But whose interests will guide the Belarusian regime’s actions?

Western allies sending Ukraine arms, but not Germany

bne IntelliNews January 25, 2022

With the fears of a Russian invasion of Ukraine mounting, many of its allies have ramped up arms deliveries to the embattled nation – but not all.

Outbreak of calm grips Ukraine

Cameron Jones in Kyiv and Dominic Culverwell in Berlin January 25, 2022

The mood in the Ukrainian capital remains calm, despite the build up of Russian troops on the border, bomb threats in schools in Kyiv and the US and UK embassies evacuating their staff.

ASH: Russia escalation cost/benefit

Timothy Ash in London January 24, 2022

Putin has moved to escalate tensions with Ukraine, putting a huge and unprecedented Russian military force on its Western border and also launching a concerted “coercive” diplomatic effort to sketch out new red lines for Nato.

Baltics to send weapons to Ukraine as fears of Russian invasion rise

bne IntelliNews January 24, 2022

Estonia will send Javelin anti-armour missiles, while Latvia and Lithuania will send Stinger antiaircraft missiles.

Polls show Russian public opinion united on Ukraine

Theo Normanton in Moscow January 23, 2022

Data from surveys show that Russian sentiment is more homogeneous than in recent years on questions surrounding a potential conflict with Ukraine. Fears of war are high, America's allies are largely held responsible, but appetite for conflict is low.

Russian troops concentrate in southeastern Belarus, increasing fears of invasion of Ukraine

bne IntelliNews January 23, 2022

Western fears of a Russian invasion of Ukraine from Belarus are increasing as Russian troops concentrate in Belarus’ Gomel region. Meanwhile, Zelenskiy is playing down war fears, saying that no war is imminent.

Zelenskiy plays down war fears as tensions continue to rise

bne IntelliNews January 21, 2022

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy played down war fears calling on the people to stop the runs on banks and food stockpiling, saying no war is imminent in a video released on January 20.

Baltics boost own military capacities and pledge to send arms to Ukraine as tension mounts

Linas Jegelevicius in Vilnius January 21, 2022

Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia have pledged to offer Ukraine assistance, including in cyber security.

US warns Belarus to keep its commitment to neutrality

bne IntelliNews January 19, 2022

US warns Belarus to keep its commitment to neutrality in wake of increasing Russian military presence along the Belarus-Ukraine border.

US Secretary of State Blinken in Kyiv, warns Russia could attack “at very short notice”

Dominic Culverwell in Berlin January 19, 2022

The US Secretary of State, Antony Blinken, announced America's support for Ukraine and warned Russia could attack “at very short notice” amidst the Russian military buildup on Ukraine’s borders

Russian is the social-media language of choice for Ukrainians

Dominic Culverwell in Berlin January 19, 2022

Data collected on Instagram shows that 50% of Ukrainian users post in Russian, 46% in Ukrainian, and 4% in English, researcher Sven Etienne Peterson reported in a Tweet on January 14.